House Prices in M5

The trend shows the general price tendency over the last 5 years, ignoring all month-to-month fluctuations where anomalies - typically over or underpriced property sales - can skew results. These monthly variations typically do not have any long-term relevance.

We have used linear regression method. The volume of sales in a month is used to put more weight on months with a larger number of properties sold. Additionally, weighting decreases the impact of months with low sales volumes as well as the most recent month - which may consist of incomplete data. Such months have a higher variation of average sale values which may conceal the underlying trend.

From a statistical perspective, we use the least squares method to fit the trend line and weights are equal to the volume of sales squared. The volume of sales is not shown explicitly in the above plot. Also note the time lag for HM Land Registry data to appear (typically 2 to 3 months).

The trend shows the general price tendency over the last 12 months, ignoring all month-to-month fluctuations where anomalies - typically over or underpriced property sales - can skew results. These monthly variations typically do not have any long-term relevance.

We have used linear regression method. The volume of sales in a month is used to put more weight on months with a larger number of properties sold. Additionally, weighting decreases the impact of months with low sales volumes as well as the most recent month - which may consist of incomplete data. Such months have a higher variation of average sale values which may conceal the underlying trend.

From a statistical perspective, we use the least squares method to fit the trend line and weights are equal to the volume of sales squared. The volume of sales is not shown explicitly in the above plot. Also note the time lag for HM Land Registry data to appear (typically 2 to 3 months).

Using local estate agency reported data, this chart illustrates the number of properties that have come on to the market.

Using local estate agency reported data, this chart illustrates the number of property sales agreed. Note that these figures are not fully reflective of properties completed (sold and registered as such at HM Land Registry).

Using local estate agency reported data, this chart illustrates the number of properties which have been seen their prices dropped (typically due to a lack of buyer interest).

Using HM Land Registry data, this chart displays average annual house prices in the M5 postcode area since 1995.